Sunday, January 29, 2012

FOLLOW UP - will it repeat the show once again ?

In last post (http://kolhapuritrader.blogspot.com/2012/01/drama-will-it-repeat-show-once-again.html) it has been mentioned that , if nifty gives weekly close above 5100 then there is 80% possibility that Indian stock market will enter new bull market. As of now FUNDAMENTALLY it looks difficult, but TECHNICALLY looks it is possible.
Once again technically nifty is at very crucial level, on one side it had given weekly close above 5100, while on other side it formed HANGING MAN CANDLESTICK PATTERN near 200SMA, as shown in chart below.

This hanging man pattern signifies short term weakness or reversal of uptrend.As with any candlestick pattern this requires confirmation. This confirmation may be in the form of gap down opening next day (Monday), or bearish real body on Monday

One more bullish signal we missed in last post was--- yearly pivot for nifty comes around 5112, and it has given weekly close above this level.

In short the tussle going between bulls and bears is not resolved yet, there are bearish as well as bullish indication.
Because of the 42:21:42:21 week pattern  mentioned in last post, we feel unless and untill it gives weekly close below  4530 it will remain in up trend with intermittent corrections.

DISCLAIMER: This Blog is meant for sharing my trading ideas only and no calls to be taken as trading recommendation. Visitors please do your own research or consult your advisers for safe trading.



7 comments:

suhask said...

Sirji,
In 'Hanging man' , bulls come in action to counteract the bears which ends in closing of market at high. This candle is red candle , may be the bulls must have entered late preventing the fall. Monday opening should be very crucial. But I stongly support your bullish view about the market.
Dr.Suhas Kothavale.

Nilesh Patil said...

Good Morning Sir,
If you see the indiavix charts it shows +ve div. in RSI.

kolhapuritrader said...

@ nilesh sir, which time frame ?

Nilesh Patil said...

On Day & Please don't call mi Sir.

Nilesh Patil said...

Sir,
I cann't access your performance sheet. please allow the access of my gmail id 007nile@gmail.com for performance sheet

kolhapuritrader said...

@nilesh, access to performance sheet allowed.

kolhapuritrader said...

@nilesh regarding +ve divergence in indiavix chart, yes sts made positive divergence, but rsi no. Reason if u observe value of rsi, its closing value on 19/1/12 is 31.33 while closing value on 25/1/12 is 30.51 so while price is making new low rsi also made new low.Also i feel divergence has more significance if it occurs after reaching oversold or overbought region.
Please add ur opinion.